AWGBlog

April 5, 2013

Just in from the Ministry of Employment Misinformation …

Filed under: FYI,Politics,WTF — Tags: , , , , , , , — AWG @ 7:01 pm

If you listen to the government Let look at two set of numbers … the ones the government spins and the real one from the BLS unspun …

The Employment Situation in March

While more work remains to be done, today’s employment report provides further evidence that the U.S. economy is continuing to recover from the worst downturn since the Great Depression. It is critical that we continue the policies that are helping to build an economy that creates jobs and works for the middle class as we dig our way out of the deep hole that was caused by the severe recession that began in December 2007.

Today’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that private sector businesses added 95,000 jobs last month. Total non-farm payroll employment rose by 88,000 jobs in March. The February and March employment numbers were revised up by a total of 61,000 jobs. The economy has now added private sector jobs every month for 37 straight months, and a total of nearly 6.5 million jobs has been added over that period.

The household survey showed that the unemployment rate fell from 7.7 percent in February to 7.6 percent in March, the lowest since December 2008. The labor force participation rate decreased by 0.2 percentage point to 63.3 percent in March.

Meanwhile in the Real World …

People Not In Labor Force Soar By 663,000 To 90 Million, Labor Force Participation Rate At 1979 Levels

Things just keep getting worse for the American worker, and by implication US economy, where as we have shown many times before, it pays just as well to sit back and collect disability and various welfare and entitlement checks, than to work .The best manifestation of this: the number of people not in the labor force which in March soared by a massive 663,000 to a record 90 million Americans who are no longer even looking for work. This was the biggest monthly increase in people dropping out of the labor force since January 2012, when the BLS did its census recast of the labor numbers. And even worse, the labor force participation rate plunged from an already abysmal 63.5% to 63.3% – the lowest since 1979! But at least it helped with the now painfully grotesque propaganda that the US unemployment rate is “improving.”

Real March Unemployment Rate: 11.6%

Today, we got the laughable news that the unemployment rate declined even as those not in the labor force grew by over 660,000, while the total civilian non-institutional population grew by just 167,000 to 244,995, meaning the actual labor force declined by 496,000. Which is precisely the issue: fudging the labor force participation rate is how the Obama administration has managed to maintain the myth the economy has grown under his leadership for the past 4+ years. It hasn’t, and in fact if one renormalizes for the recent long-term average participation rate of 65.8%, one gets a very different number. How different? A difference that is now at a record compared to what is reported. As the chart below shows, a “renormalization” process indicates a massive and record 4% difference between the reported unemployment rate of 7.6%, and what the real unemployment rate is assuming normal growth of the labor force, which in March was 11.6%, up from 11.3% in February, and the highest since August 2012 when it was 11.7%. More importantly, as the real unemployment chart shows, the economy has not improved by one bit since 2009!

So while the government’s Ministry of Misinformation blows smoke up your bum … the facts from the land of reality that liberals hate so much are quite different.

November 13, 2012

GSA and the jobs numbers game – are they manipulating the numbers?

Filed under: FYI — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — AWG @ 6:38 pm

Hear is a little something I picked up on the grapevine about the large retail companies and the GSA and I hope one of our illustrious elected officials looks into not that they can do anything it’s just a game they all play…

First what is the GSA? Per Wiki…

GSA employs about 12,000 federal workers and has an annual operating budget of roughly $26.3 billion. GSA oversees $66 billion of procurement annually. It contributes to the management of about $500 billion in U.S. federal property, divided chiefly among 8,300 owned and leased buildings and a 210,000 vehicle motor pool. Among the real estate assets managed by the GSA are the Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center in Washington, DC, the largest U.S. Federal building after The Pentagon and the Hart-Dole-Inouye Federal Center which had previously been the Battle Creek Sanitarium run by John Harvey Kellogg.

All that to say that the GSA is the procurement department of the government and if a company does business with the government they need to provide so many jobs and hire so many people to help pad the government job creation numbers… since a company can’t just keep hiring people they don’t need so what to do?

Well companies like Lowe’s, Home Depot, Office Max, Office Depot and other big box stores that have government contracts have to list all job opening to the public on job websites, unemployment office or they own website even if the job is nothing more than a promotion to be filled internally and once that job is filled via promoting someone within the company is counted as a “job created” – even though no one was hired, no job was filled and no job was created but the government can claim that there is one less person looking for work because Billy Bob was promoted from a “Customer Service Associate I” to a “Customer Service Associate II” because a job opening for a CSA II was posted as open… and if these companies do not play the governments game they lose their big lucrative government contracts to be a supplier of goods. Think of it as the government acting as the mob shaking down a store owner for “protection”…. it’s really no difference.

So that’s the game…

A store has a job opening for a CSA II so it was filled via an internal promotion and the store can report they created a job by filling a vacancy even though no one was actually hired and dozens if not 100 of those out of work wasted their time applying for a job that they never had a chance at getting in the first place because it was all just a game to humor the government thugs so they could claim that x-number of jobs were created when in fact there were none.

So what is the result… well Obama will run around telling the country… Hey look at me I created 5.5 million new jobs! … but somehow the unemployment number is still higher than when he took office and there are 23 million fewer people in the workforce than when he took office and we’re supposed to believe he created jobs? How does that math work?

Simple companies report jobs created that weren’t (that way they can blame the company if caught) via the internal promotion game to keep the GSA shake down thugs happy, the unemployed seeking jobs run out of benefits and come off the job seeker rolls (they disappear as jobless) at about the same rate people working are losing their jobs due to cuts and closures and going on the jobless roll… so unemployment doesn’t really change from one month to the next and the jobs being created is nothing more than something shiny for the media to look at.

What about those 23-25 million people still looking for work but are no longer on the roles? Forget them they don’t count… according to the government.

So ask your liberal friends this…

… if Obama created jobs why hasn’t unemployment gone down?
… if the workforce has shrunk by 25 million no longer counted then shouldn’t that explains why welfare and food stamps recipients have doubled under Obama?

Don’t Be Fooled, The Obama Unemployment Rate Is 11%

Shrinking US workforce masks an otherwise sky-high jobless rate

Like numbers and pesky facts read the link below…

Making 9 Million Jobless “Vanish”: How The Government Manipulates Unemployment Statistics

 

November 4, 2012

2 Days to go…

Filed under: Business,Politics — Tags: , , , , , , , , — AWG @ 9:58 am

2 more days…48 hour…

7.9% unemployment

When Obama took office unemployment was 7.8% there has been no progress from the progressive to improve it.

Jobs report: 171K jobs added, jobless rate rises to 7.9%

The U-6 number didn’t move much from the previous month.  It was 14.7%, and it’s now 14.6%.  When Obama took office, it was 14.2%; six months ago, it was 14.5%.  The overall unemployment situation isn’t improving significantly at all.  The number of people not in the workforce declined by 269,000, but at 88.341 million, it’s still higher than every month this year before August, and it’s 2.28 million higher than it was a year ago.

October 4, 2012

33 Days to go …

Filed under: Politics — Tags: , , , , , , , , , — AWG @ 12:47 am

33 days to find a new employee…

BUT WAIT THERE’S MORE!!!

Look at the number of people that are no longer in the workforce and not included in the unemployment numbers…

The Real Reasons People Drop Out of the Workforce

September 3, 2012

64 Days to go …

Filed under: FYI — Tags: , , , , , , , , — AWG @ 9:07 am

64 more days of an empty chair…

Happy Labor Day for those of you with a job…

February 24, 2012

The facts are like dessert – they’re saved for the very end…

Filed under: FYI,lies — Tags: , , , , , , , — AWG @ 6:58 am

So lower jobless claims sounds great doesn’t it? Happy days are here again unemployment is down… well not so fast, let’s have a look-see, let’s do something radical and read all the why to the last line…

Unemployment aid applications stay at 4-year low

Here are the first 3 paragraphs – this is all most people will read…

WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of people seeking unemployment aid was unchanged last week and the four-week average of applications fell to its lowest point in four years. The figures add to evidence that show the job market is improving.
Applications stayed last week at a seasonally adjusted 351,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. That’s the fewest since March 2008, when the country was just a few months into the recession.
The four-week average, which smooths week-to-week fluctuations, dropped for the sixth straight week to 359,000. That’s also the lowest since March 2008.

But if you keep reading to where most Americans will never get past all the boring numbers and stuff all the way down to paragraph fifteen you finally get to the real reason why the numbers are what they are…

One reason the unemployment rate has fallen is that many people have given up looking for work. The government only counts people as unemployed if they are actively searching for a job.

Well how about that shit… few people looking, few counted, lower rate – but those kind of reality are placed at the ass end of a article where most people will never get.

September 13, 2011

Polly wanna bill…rrraawkk

I’ve only seen bits and pieces of this bill – hopefully they’ll post it online.

First it’s not paid for until congress figures out how to pay for it – which will never happen.

I swear Obama sound like a parrot… rrraawkk pass the bill, pass the bill, rrraawkk pass the bill, pass the bill… well whats in the bill? Besides more unfunded stimulus. This ass thinks he can say jump and congress and the American people are going to say “how high?” Sorry buttwipe St. Happin’…

In a nutshell all this bill is about is raising taxes on job creators those “millionaires and billionaires” making over $200,000 – frankly I never knew I $200K was a billionaire. The things you learn from an idiot.

About the rrraawkk pass the bill, pass the bill, rrraawkk pass the bill, pass the bill

One of the the things I heard is creating yet another victim class out of the unemployed.

American Jobs Act Would Ban Discrimination Against Jobless

The jobs package President Obama sent to Congress on Monday includes a ban on hiring discrimination against the jobless.

Well what if that are just not qualified for the job? Do you think any employer is going to call someone for an interview that has been out of work over 6 months if they run the risk of getting sued? And they wonder why Blacks do get as many calls as White… law suits and liabilities. They cost money and if you could go broke for not hiring someone – you just don’t call and you don’t open yourself up to that liability. We need to end victim class and not create another one.

But Obama wants another victim class rraawkk pass the bill… pass the bill. Giving tax credits to hire employees when none are needed is just… well stupid. Why would an employer shell out and commit to hiring someone for say $40K or $50K (including benefits) for a crappy little $4000 one time tax credit? It’s… well stupid.

This asshole also wants to extend unemployment AGAIN at some point the gravy train runs out. I’m sorry for folks that are unemployed but most find jobs pretty quick when their unemployment runs out. So to extend it again after 99 weeks is… well stupid.

This rraawkk pass the bill also ends a lot of charitable contributions – I guess Obama only wants the wealth shared on his terms after he takes a cut.

It goes on and on with more and more stupid ideas… this rraawkk pass the bill is a product of an idiot that knows nothing about business, nothing about jobs!

Rrraawkk pass the bill, tax the rich, rrrawkk. Moron.

I’m not going to waste a lot of time on this because most of this rrraawkk pass the bill, tax the rich, rrrawkk is DOA, only an idiot would raise taxes and remove charitable contributions in a recession.

This is nothing but a campaign move to try and save a failing presidency… it won’t work.

The American Jobs Act of 2011: Lather, Rinse, Repeat and Fail
The American Jobs Act: Why It Will Not Create Jobs

Rraawkk kill the bill rrraawkk

August 5, 2011

Obama: Unemployment creates jobs… WHAT?

Filed under: FYI,Random Thoughts,WTF — Tags: , , , , , , , , — AWG @ 3:35 pm

First you want something shocking? This is from the Huffington Post…

Now this crazy stuff about how unemployment creates you know that three letter word J-O-B-S, jobs…

Obama: Extending Unemployment Benefits Will “Create Jobs Right Now”

PRESIDENT: “So, when Congress gets back in September I want to move quickly on things that will help the economy create jobs right now. Extending the payroll tax credit to put a thousand dollars in the pocket of the average American worker. Extending unemployment insurance to help people get back on their feet. Putting construction workers back to work rebuilding America.

“Those are all steps we can take right now that will make a difference and there is no contradiction between us taking some steps to put people to work right now and getting our long-term fiscal house in order. In fact, the more we grow the easier it will be to ease our deficits.”

This reminds me of Nancy Pelosi and her idiotic statement that unemployment checks creates jobs…

YouTube Preview Image

So it seems to me if unemployment checks create jobs then everybody needs to quit their job and go on unemployment and we’ll have full employment… right? That’s liberal logic…

The liberal wonder boy and still wet behind the ears Ezra Klein claimed on BSMBC that “Unemployment insurance ending sucks $170 billion out of the economy.”
… Do what?Unemployment ENDING sucks $170 billion out of the economy? Where does this idiot think unemployment money comes from the magic money fairy? It comes for the taxpayer paying taxes that money was already sucked out of the economy. Liberal logic – don’t try to understand it.

May 23, 2011

KY GOV STEVE BESHEAR ASKED TO HOLD HIM ACCOUNTABLE… YOU GOT IT STEVIE

Filed under: FYI,Politics — Tags: , , , , , , , — AWG @ 12:55 pm

Re-post from the KYGOP…

REMEMBER THIS?  Steve Beshear: “I Expect My Administration To Be Accountable.”

Contact:  Steve Robertson, Chairman             502-875-5130                                          For Immediate Release: May 23, 2011

**********

“I Expect To Earn Your Trust, Not To Simply Be Given It. I Expect My Administration To Be Accountable — And It Starts At The Top, With Me.” (Steve Beshear, Text of Inaugural Address, 12/11/07)

Governor Steve Beshear Has Failed To Be Accountable On The Budget, Unemployment & Overall Leadership In Kentucky.

·         When Gov. Beshear Was Elected In 2007, Kentucky’s Budget Shortfall Was $434 Million. “Governor Steve Beshear says a shortfall in the state budget has reached $434 million.” (“Budget Shortfall Reaches $434 Million,” The Associated Press, 12/27/07)

·          Three Years Later, Kentucky’s Budget Shortfall Increased To $1.5 Billion Under Gov. Beshear’s Watch. “Democratic Gov. Steve Beshear today proposed a budget that calls for $780 million in revenue from expanded gambling to help meet an anticipated $1.5 billion budget shortfall over the next two years.” (Amanda Van Benschoten, “Beshear Proposes Budget Based On $780M In Gambling Revenue,” Kentucky Enquirer, 1/19/10)

Kentucky Has One of the Worst Unemployment Rates In The U.S.

·         Kentucky Remains One of Seven States with Double-Digit Unemployment. “With an unemployment rate of 10.0% in April, Kentucky is one of only seven states with double-digit jobless rates. (“Beshear’s Ad Seeks To Define Incumbent And Inoculate Against High Unemployment Criticism,” cn|2 Pure Politics, May 23, 2011)

·         Only Six States Have a Higher Unemployment Rate. (“Unemployment Rate For States,” U.S. Department Of Labor, Accessed 5/23/11)

·         Indiana, Under the Leadership of Republican Governor Mitch Daniels, Has an Unemployment Rate of 8.2%, Below the National Average of 9%. (“Unemployment Rate For States,” U.S. Department Of Labor, Accessed 5/23/11)

 

The News Website 24/7 Wall Street Ranked Kentucky The Worst Run State In The U.S. In 2010.

·         According To 24/7 Wall Street, Kentucky Is The Worst Run State In The U.S. “How well run are America’s fifty states?  24/7 Wall St. has taken several months to consider that question. Our writers looked at hundreds of data sets ranging from debt rating agency reports to violent crime rates, unemployment trends and median income.  Of those, we chose what we considered to be the 10 most important ranking of financial and overall government management.  The best run state is Wyoming.  The Worst is Kentucky.” (“The Best And Worst Run States In America: A Survey of All Fifty,” 24/7Wall Street, 10/4/10)

February 17, 2011

Where’s the beef? Stimulus at 2 years old…

Filed under: Media,Politics — Tags: , , , , , — AWG @ 3:30 pm

If George Bush had made a bunch of claims and promises after spending nearly a trillion dollars and none of them came true the media would have a real beef with him and rightfully so… Obama made a lot of claims and promises and nearly all of them have failed to materialize and the media says nothing – so where’s the beef?

Stimulus Two Years Later, Networks Ignore Obama’s Failed Job Promise

Where Were Stories about the 8 Percent Promise? Just nine stories out of 589 (less than 2 percent) referred to the unemployment prediction in two years of network news coverage.

Networks Instead Promoted More Stimulus: When the effects of the stimulus plan were discussed, network news shows promoted even more stimulus. ABC’s Bianna Golodryga asked Warren Buffet if he thought unemployment would hit 11 percent to which he said yes. Then, instead of noting that the stimulus failed, she asked if a second stimulus was needed. To this Buffet replied it may be necessary because the first bill “was sort of like taking half a tablet of Viagra.”

Bush Forced to Defend 5 Percent Unemployment: Under the administration of President George W. Bush, negative economic stories were pushed when unemployment was below 5 percent – less than half the number reached after the stimulus passed. CBS’ Dan Rather on Oct. 8, 2004, asked “Tonight, where are the jobs?” yet few stimulus stories have even mentioned Obama’s unemployment prediction.

ABC Was The Worst With Only One Story: ABC “World News” only mentioned the 8 percent prediction one time in nearly two years of coverage, making it the worst of the three networks. Instead ABC credited the stimulus with lower unemployment as reporter Betsy Stark claimed Dec. 4, 2009, when unemployment dropped to 10 percent: “Economists credit the government’s massive stimulus spending with getting the job market to this point.”

CBS Was the Best With a Mere Four Stories: “Evening News” did a better job of reminding viewers of Obama’s promise than ABC and NBC did, but still only mentioned it four times over two years. But unlike others Katie Couric actually brought it up in an interview with Obama on July 21, 2009 and asked him to respond. That was one of the few examples of what the networks should have done more often.

Journalistic hypocrisy? You be the judge…

But wait there’s more…. The White House’s new Beltway Bob – Jay Carney said the Stimulus goals have been met…

WH’s Jay Carney: Stimulus “Goals Have Been Met”

White House press secretary Jay Carney says the Recovery Act added several million jobs and lowered the unemployment rate. According to Carney, the “goals” of the stimulus package “have been met.”

A reporter asked Carney why unemployment is at 9% and not 7%, the percentage projected if the stimulus worked. Carney dismissed the question. “We’ve said repeatedly that we don’t want to relitigate the battles of the past,” Carney told the reporter.

What ever Jay… Obama lied, the economy died.

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